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According to meteorology experts at South Africa’s University of Pretoria, rainfall extremes are becoming more probable in parts of the country.
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The return of El Niño this year has been forecast for the past few months. Now, a clear sign of its formation has been detected with satellite imagery.
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An unusually stubborn La Niña has ended after a three-year run and the tropical Pacific is in an Enso-neutral state (neither El Niño nor La Niña), according to the Geneva-based World Meteorological Organization (WMO).
As El Niño looms- South Africa
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The latest monthly Seasonal Climate Watch issued last week by the South African Weather Service, which makes tentative five-month predictions, is chilling. The current one extends to August, with an outlook for wider potential trends beyond that.
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Global temperatures have already increased 1.1ºC above industrial temperatures and are now likely to reach 1.5ºC by 2040 or sooner.
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If 2018 was the year of the global heatwave, then 2019 looks set to bring even more extreme weather with early indications of an El Niño event in the next three months.
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